赔率学院

Sydney Roosters v Parramatta Eels

开赛时间: 2026-07-11 09:36 UTC

最终结果: Sydney Roosters 28–12 Parramatta Eels

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

9 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Sydney Roosters (主队)

预测 71.10%1.41公平赔率
EV -4.02%
优势 -2.98%
Kelly -11.48%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.35

博彩公司预测分布
68.08%71.34%71.10%73.87%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.221.291.311.3581.97%77.72%76.34%74.07%MIN均值中位数MAX

Parramatta Eels (客队)

预测 25.55%3.91公平赔率
EV +2.18%
优势 +0.546%
Kelly +0.728%
增长率 +0.016%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
22.53%25.24%25.55%27.87%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.203.523.554.0031.25%28.44%28.17%25.00%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 3.36%29.79公平赔率
EV +10.78%
优势 +0.327%
Kelly +0.337%
增长率 +0.036%

假设最高赔率为 33.00

博彩公司预测分布
2.79%3.42%3.36%4.21%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
22.0025.7825.0033.004.55%3.88%4.00%3.03%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 20 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (9 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 69.73%EV -6.15%E -4.66%K -19.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -14.42%E -4.30%K -6.14%G +0.000%33.00I 3.03%NM 2.79%EV +10.78%E +0.327%K +0.337%G +0.036%8.6%2026-07-11 09:33
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 71.84%EV -10.42%E -8.27%K -40.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.02%EV +0.713%E +0.024%K +0.025%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-11 09:35
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.67%EV -11.13%E -8.90%K -44.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -9.31%E -2.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.09%EV -2.64%E -0.091%K -0.094%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-11 09:35
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.92%EV -4.02%E -2.98%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -13.14%E -3.87%K -5.48%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.72%EV -16.07%E -0.643%K -0.670%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 09:34
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.87%EV -13.26%E -10.87%K -60.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV +2.18%E +0.546%K +0.728%G +0.016%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.60%EV -16.07%E -0.643%K -0.670%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 01:49
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 70.50%EV -12.55%E -10.20%K -54.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.89%EV -14.42%E -4.30%K -6.14%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 3.61%EV -19.43%E -0.810%K -0.845%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-11 09:35
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.09%EV -6.15%E -4.66%K -19.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.21%EV -26.14%E -1.19%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 08:39
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.09%EV -6.15%E -4.66%K -19.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.21%EV -26.14%E -1.19%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 08:39
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 68.08%EV -6.86%E -5.24%K -22.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -18.25%E -5.70%K -8.30%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.05%EV -26.14%E -1.19%K -1.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-11 09:34
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (20)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-07-11 09:35
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%4.1%2026-07-11 08:39
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%4.6%2026-07-11 09:34
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%4.8%2026-07-10 01:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%4.8%2026-07-10 01:14
Dabble (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%4.8%2026-07-10 06:30
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%5.0%2026-07-11 08:40
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%5.2%2026-07-08 13:40
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%5.2%2026-07-11 09:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%5.2%2026-07-11 09:35
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%5.2%2026-07-11 09:35
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%5.2%2026-07-11 09:35
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%5.4%2026-07-11 09:34
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%5.5%2026-07-10 06:19
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%5.5%2026-07-11 08:20
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%5.8%2026-07-11 09:34
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%5.9%2026-07-11 04:39
PointsBet (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%6.3%2026-07-11 08:14
Grosvenor1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%6.8%2026-07-11 09:35
TAB1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%7.3%2026-07-11 00:54