The School of OddsSouth Sydney Rabbitohs v Newcastle Knights
Head to Head
15 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Option 1: South Sydney Rabbitohs (Local)
Odds
1.8653.76%Min
1.9750.66%Mean
2.0050.13%Median
2.0548.78%Max
Consensus probabilities
45.23%2.211Min
46.27%2.161Max
45.73%2.187Mean
45.58%2.194Median
45.73%2.187IQM
45.76%2.185Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.05 under the IQM model: 45.73%
EV -6.24%Edge -3.05%Kelly -5.95%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Newcastle Knights (Visit)
Odds
1.7457.47%Min
1.8554.20%Mean
1.8454.35%Median
1.9551.28%Max
Consensus probabilities
48.05%2.081Min
50.25%1.990Max
49.45%2.022Mean
49.91%2.004Median
49.45%2.022IQM
49.29%2.029Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.95 under the IQM model: 49.45%
EV -3.58%Edge -1.83%Kelly -3.76%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
15.006.67%Min
18.135.52%Mean
17.505.71%Median
25.004.00%Max
Consensus probabilities
3.68%27.150Min
6.25%16.009Max
4.82%20.758Mean
4.51%22.171Median
4.82%20.758IQM
4.95%20.218Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 25.00 under the IQM model: 4.82%
EV +20.44%Edge +0.817%Kelly +0.851%Growth +0.174%
Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | South Sydney Rabbitohs (Local) | Newcastle Knights (Visit) | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.99I 50.25% NM 46.27%EV -8.99% E -4.52% K -9.08% G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35% NM 50.04%EV -9.02% E -4.90% K -10.73% G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00% NM 3.68%EV +20.44% E +0.817% K +0.851% G +0.174% | 8.6% | 2026-07-05 08:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00% NM 45.23%EV -8.53% E -4.27% K -8.53% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 50.25%EV -10.99% E -6.11% K -13.74% G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00% NM 4.52%EV -3.65% E -0.183% K -0.192% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-05 08:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.96I 51.02% NM 46.12%EV -10.36% E -5.29% K -10.79% G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35% NM 49.13%EV -9.02% E -4.90% K -10.73% G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26% NM 4.76%EV -8.47% E -0.446% K -0.471% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00% NM 45.98%EV -8.53% E -4.27% K -8.53% G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19% NM 48.91%EV -7.04% E -3.74% K -8.00% G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56% NM 5.11%EV -13.29% E -0.738% K -0.782% G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76% NM 45.91%EV -14.93% E -8.03% K -17.37% G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47% NM 49.07%EV -13.96% E -8.02% K -18.87% G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88% NM 5.02%EV -18.10% E -1.06% K -1.13% G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19% NM 45.75%EV -14.02% E -7.46% K -15.93% G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82% NM 48.87%EV -12.97% E -7.37% K -17.07% G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25% NM 5.38%EV -22.92% E -1.43% K -1.53% G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.70%EV -6.24% E -3.05% K -5.95% G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28% NM 48.05%EV -3.58% E -1.83% K -3.76% G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67% NM 6.25%EV -27.74% E -1.85% K -1.98% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 12:45 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.70%EV -6.24% E -3.05% K -5.95% G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28% NM 48.05%EV -3.58% E -1.83% K -3.76% G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67% NM 6.25%EV -27.74% E -1.85% K -1.98% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 12:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (15)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.98I 50.51% | 1.86I 53.76% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 10:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.87I 53.48% | 1.95I 51.28% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 08:50 |
| Neds | 1.87I 53.48% | 1.95I 51.28% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 08:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28% | 1.85I 54.05% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 10:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00% | 1.80I 55.56% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 12:25 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56% | 2.00I 50.00% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.94I 51.55% | 1.85I 54.05% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.94I 51.55% | 1.85I 54.05% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.94I 51.55% | 1.85I 54.05% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.94I 51.55% | 1.85I 54.05% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| Casumo | 1.94I 51.55% | 1.85I 54.05% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81% | 1.85I 54.05% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 12:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81% | 1.85I 54.05% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 12:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.93I 51.81% | 1.83I 54.64% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.02I 98.04% | 1.02I 98.04% | 96.1% | 2026-07-05 08:25 |