赔率学院

South Sydney Rabbitohs v Newcastle Knights

开赛时间: 2026-07-12 04:01 UTC

最终结果: South Sydney Rabbitohs 26–24 Newcastle Knights

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

9 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

South Sydney Rabbitohs (主队)

预测 42.70%2.34公平赔率
EV -3.93%
优势 -1.75%
Kelly -3.14%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布
41.10%42.95%42.71%45.23%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.002.122.102.2550.00%47.19%47.62%44.44%MIN均值中位数MAX

Newcastle Knights (客队)

预测 52.80%1.89公平赔率
EV -4.96%
优势 -2.76%
Kelly -6.20%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
50.25%52.57%52.78%53.77%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.661.721.721.8060.24%58.06%58.14%55.56%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 4.50%22.21公平赔率
EV +8.07%
优势 +0.336%
Kelly +0.351%
增长率 +0.028%

假设最高赔率为 24.00

博彩公司预测分布
3.72%4.48%4.51%5.14%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
18.0019.6719.0024.005.56%5.08%5.26%4.17%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 20 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (9 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.51%EV -10.33%E -4.92%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.77%EV -12.35%E -7.44%K -18.72%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 3.72%EV +8.07%E +0.336%K +0.351%G +0.028%12.0%2026-07-12 03:59
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.20%E -3.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -8.13%E -4.67%K -10.99%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.19%EV -0.937%E -0.043%K -0.045%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 03:58
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.81%EV -8.20%E -3.81%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.59%EV -7.60%E -4.34%K -10.14%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.60%EV -9.94%E -0.497%K -0.523%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 03:59
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.23%EV -14.60%E -7.30%K -14.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.25%EV -4.96%E -2.76%K -6.20%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.52%EV -9.94%E -0.497%K -0.523%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-12 03:59
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.89%EV -10.33%E -4.92%K -9.39%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.37%EV -9.19%E -5.34%K -12.76%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.74%EV -14.45%E -0.760%K -0.803%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-12 03:59
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.93%E -1.75%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.19%E -5.34%K -12.76%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV -18.95%E -1.05%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 04:00
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.93%E -1.75%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.19%E -5.34%K -12.76%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.14%EV -18.95%E -1.05%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 03:59
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.37%EV -12.47%E -6.08%K -11.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.69%EV -9.19%E -5.34%K -12.76%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 4.94%EV -18.95%E -1.05%K -1.11%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-12 03:59
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.07%EV -13.75%E -6.81%K -13.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.10%EV -11.83%E -7.08%K -17.65%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 4.83%EV -18.95%E -1.05%K -1.11%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-12 03:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (20)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-07-12 04:00
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%3.9%2026-07-12 03:59
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%4.3%2026-07-12 03:59
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%5.1%2026-07-12 04:00
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%5.1%2026-07-12 03:59
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%5.1%2026-07-12 03:59
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%5.1%2026-07-12 03:59
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%5.1%2026-07-12 03:59
SportsBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%5.2%2026-07-12 03:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%5.3%2026-07-12 03:59
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%5.3%2026-07-12 03:59
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%5.3%2026-07-12 04:00
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%5.3%2026-07-12 03:59
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%5.4%2026-07-12 04:00
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%6.1%2026-07-12 03:59
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%6.1%2026-07-12 03:59
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%6.1%2026-07-12 03:57
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%6.2%2026-07-12 03:59
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%6.3%2026-07-12 04:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%9.9%2026-07-12 04:00