Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Parramatta Eels v Cronulla Sutherland Sharks

2026-08-30 06:05 UTC — NRL

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

33%

63%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Parramatta Eels (Local)

Prediction 33.11%3.02fair odd

EV -7.29%

Edge -2.60%

Kelly -4.05%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.33%33.11%33.11%33.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.602.732.792.8038.46%36.61%35.78%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks (Visit)

Prediction 62.98%1.59fair odd

EV -5.54%

Edge -3.69%

Kelly -11.07%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

62.08%62.98%62.98%63.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.371.431.431.5072.99%69.69%69.93%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 3.91%25.55fair odd

EV +13.50%

Edge +0.466%

Kelly +0.482%

Growth +0.065%

assuming max odds 29.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

3.17%3.91%3.91%4.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

19.0021.8320.0029.005.26%4.58%5.00%3.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Parramatta Eels (Local): 33.11%; Cronulla Sutherland Sharks (Visit): 62.98%; Draw: 3.91%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 25.55. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 29.00, producing a positive expected value of +13.50%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Draw ▼	Margin	Updated
Marathon Bet🎯	2.79I 35.84%NM 32.96%EV -7.62%E -2.73%K -4.26%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -9.32%E -6.47%K -21.17%G +0.000%	29.00I 3.45%NM 3.17%EV +13.50%E +0.466%K +0.482%G +0.065%	8.7%	2026-08-19 07:59
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.29%E -2.60%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 63.74%EV -10.58%E -7.45%K -25.18%G +0.000%	23.00I 4.35%NM 3.94%EV -9.98%E -0.434%K -0.454%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-08-19 08:09
NordicBet🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.60%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.08%EV -5.54%E -3.69%K -11.07%G +0.000%	20.00I 5.00%NM 4.66%EV -21.72%E -1.09%K -1.14%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-19 06:54
Betsson🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -7.29%E -2.60%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.08%EV -5.54%E -3.69%K -11.07%G +0.000%	20.00I 5.00%NM 4.66%EV -21.72%E -1.09%K -1.14%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-19 06:54
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 33.03%EV -13.91%E -5.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%	1.37I 72.99%NM 62.68%EV -13.72%E -10.02%K -37.09%G +0.000%	20.00I 5.00%NM 4.29%EV -21.72%E -1.09%K -1.14%G +0.000%	16.5%	2026-08-19 08:10
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 33.10%EV -13.91%E -5.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 62.37%EV -13.09%E -9.49%K -34.46%G +0.000%	19.00I 5.26%NM 4.53%EV -25.64%E -1.35%K -1.42%G +0.000%	16.2%	2026-08-19 08:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Margin ▲	Updated
SportsBet🎯	2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%	5.2%	2026-08-19 06:50

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