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Yale Bulldogs v Penn State Nittany Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yale Bulldogs (Local)
assuming max odds 2.90
Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.45
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yale Bulldogs (Local): 33.98%; Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit): 66.02%. For Yale Bulldogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -1.46%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.46%E -0.503%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.57%E -5.41%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 17:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -6.22%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -4.27%E -2.95%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.27%E -2.95%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -13.35%E -5.24%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -6.25%E -4.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 17:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.