Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vermont Catamounts v Albany Great Danes

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vermont Catamounts (Local)

Prediction 24.46%4.09fair odd
EV +0.296%
Edge +0.072%
Kelly +0.096%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.93%24.46%24.75%25.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.873.804.1027.03%25.86%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Albany Great Danes (Visit)

Prediction 75.54%1.32fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -2.59%
Kelly -11.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.30%75.54%75.25%77.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.251.2881.97%80.00%80.00%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vermont Catamounts (Local): 24.46%; Albany Great Danes (Visit): 75.54%. For Vermont Catamounts (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.09. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.296%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +0.296%E +0.072%K +0.096%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.84%E -6.43%K -35.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 17:45
DraftKings🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.04%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.58%E -4.46%K -22.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 10:24
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.49%E -2.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.31%E -2.59%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 02:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.