Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Utes v Marquette Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-03-11 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

77%

23%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Utes (Local)

Prediction 77.37%1.29fair odd

EV -4.06%

Edge -3.28%

Kelly -16.94%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

75.88%77.37%76.78%79.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.171.211.211.2485.47%82.64%82.30%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marquette Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 22.63%4.42fair odd

EV +4.11%

Edge +0.894%

Kelly +1.14%

Growth +0.047%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

20.55%22.63%23.22%24.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.904.194.134.6025.64%23.88%24.24%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Utes (Local): 77.37%; Marquette Golden Eagles (Visit): 22.63%. For Marquette Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.42. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -7.93%E -6.67%K -41.75%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +4.11%E +0.894%K +1.14%G +0.047%	5.8%	2026-03-11 15:05
Fliff🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 78.01%EV -9.48%E -8.10%K -55.77%G +0.000%	4.15I 24.10%NM 21.99%EV -6.07%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-03-11 16:45
FanDuel🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.06%E -3.28%K -16.94%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.21%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-11 15:20
BetMGM🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.06%E -3.28%K -16.94%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -11.73%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-11 15:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.