Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Utes v Dartmouth Big Green

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

60%

40%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Utes (Local)

Prediction 60.18%1.66fair odd

EV -0.703%

Edge -0.426%

Kelly -1.08%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.14%60.18%58.97%64.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.481.571.581.6567.57%63.59%63.29%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dartmouth Big Green (Visit)

Prediction 39.82%2.51fair odd

EV +6.72%

Edge +2.51%

Kelly +4.00%

Growth +0.269%

assuming max odds 2.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

35.58%39.82%41.03%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.202.342.252.6845.45%42.64%44.44%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Utes (Local): 60.18%; Dartmouth Big Green (Visit): 39.82%. For Dartmouth Big Green (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.68, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.72%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -10.93%E -7.39%K -22.78%G +0.000%	2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV +6.72%E +2.51%K +4.00%G +0.269%	4.9%	2026-03-07 18:53
DraftKings🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.41%E -3.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-07 18:54
BetMGM🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -0.703%E -0.426%K -1.08%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -12.40%E -5.63%K -10.33%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-03 16:55
Fliff🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.93%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -12.40%E -5.63%K -10.33%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-03-07 18:54

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.