Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stony Brook Seawolves v Marist Red Foxes

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

75%

25%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stony Brook Seawolves (Local)

Prediction 75.34%1.33fair odd

EV -3.56%

Edge -2.78%

Kelly -12.71%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

73.77%75.34%75.20%77.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.221.261.271.2881.97%79.58%78.74%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marist Red Foxes (Visit)

Prediction 24.66%4.06fair odd

EV +1.09%

Edge +0.265%

Kelly +0.351%

Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

22.93%24.66%24.80%26.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.603.853.854.1027.78%25.97%25.97%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stony Brook Seawolves (Local): 75.34%; Marist Red Foxes (Visit): 24.66%. For Marist Red Foxes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.06. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -8.08%E -6.62%K -36.73%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +1.09%E +0.265%K +0.351%G +0.004%	6.4%	2026-04-01 14:00
FanDuel🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.31%E -3.40%K -15.97%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.08%E -1.32%K -1.78%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-04-03 13:25
DraftKings🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.56%E -2.78%K -12.71%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.24%E -3.12%K -4.32%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-04 15:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.