Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pennsylvania Quakers v Syracuse Orange

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 17:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pennsylvania Quakers (Local)

Prediction 23.17%4.32fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.359%
Kelly -0.469%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.16%23.17%22.93%27.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.894.004.2530.30%25.72%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Syracuse Orange (Visit)

Prediction 76.83%1.30fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -12.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.37%76.83%77.07%77.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.241.241.2682.64%80.81%80.65%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pennsylvania Quakers (Local): 23.17%; Syracuse Orange (Visit): 76.83%. For Pennsylvania Quakers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.25, with an expected value of -1.52%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -1.52%E -0.359%K -0.469%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -7.04%E -5.82%K -33.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 00:04
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 19:24
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 07:47
Fliff🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -23.54%E -7.13%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.37%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-01 16:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.