Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Merrimack Warriors v Quinnipiac Bobcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-25 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

64%

36%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Merrimack Warriors (Local)

Prediction 63.72%1.57fair odd

EV -1.88%

Edge -1.22%

Kelly -3.47%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

60.91%63.72%63.73%66.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.421.471.461.5470.42%68.14%68.73%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Quinnipiac Bobcats (Visit)

Prediction 36.28%2.76fair odd

EV +3.04%

Edge +1.07%

Kelly +1.65%

Growth +0.050%

assuming max odds 2.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

33.49%36.28%36.27%39.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.402.602.582.8441.67%38.50%38.83%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Merrimack Warriors (Local): 63.72%; Quinnipiac Bobcats (Visit): 36.28%. For Quinnipiac Bobcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.84, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -8.89%E -6.21%K -20.66%G +0.000%	2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV +3.04%E +1.07%K +1.65%G +0.050%	5.1%	2026-03-25 19:25
DraftKings🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.70%E -3.85%K -11.87%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-25 19:34
Fliff🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -9.52%E -6.71%K -22.67%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -7.48%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-03-25 19:40
BetMGM🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -1.88%E -1.22%K -3.47%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -12.92%E -5.38%K -9.23%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-03-24 14:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.