Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mercyhurst Lakers v Queens University Royals

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

37%

63%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mercyhurst Lakers (Local)

Prediction 36.78%2.72fair odd

EV +1.14%

Edge +0.416%

Kelly +0.653%

Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.21%36.78%36.78%39.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.422.592.602.7541.32%38.61%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Queens University Royals (Visit)

Prediction 63.22%1.58fair odd

EV -0.744%

Edge -0.474%

Kelly -1.30%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

60.65%63.22%63.22%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.411.471.431.5770.92%68.03%69.93%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mercyhurst Lakers (Local): 36.78%; Queens University Royals (Visit): 63.22%. For Mercyhurst Lakers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV +1.14%E +0.416%K +0.653%G +0.007%	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -9.59%E -6.71%K -22.31%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-02-22 15:40
Fliff🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000%	1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -10.86%E -7.70%K -26.49%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-02-22 15:40
FanDuel🎯	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -10.99%E -4.54%K -7.74%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -0.744%E -0.474%K -1.30%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-20 05:37

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.