Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Massachusetts Minutemen v Albany Great Danes

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

38%

62%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Massachusetts Minutemen (Local)

Prediction 38.40%2.60fair odd

EV -3.99%

Edge -1.60%

Kelly -2.66%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.50%38.40%37.66%40.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.352.432.442.5042.55%41.11%40.98%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Albany Great Danes (Visit)

Prediction 61.60%1.62fair odd

EV -2.06%

Edge -1.30%

Kelly -3.49%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.95%61.60%62.34%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.491.521.501.5967.11%65.68%66.45%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Massachusetts Minutemen (Local): 38.40%; Albany Great Danes (Visit): 61.60%. For Albany Great Danes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.59, with an expected value of -2.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.99%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.99%E -4.63%K -13.70%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-25 22:15
BetMGM🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.99%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.60%E -5.07%K -15.21%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-02-26 14:00
FanDuel🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -8.60%E -3.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -2.06%E -1.30%K -3.49%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-28 16:15
Fliff🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -9.76%E -4.15%K -7.23%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -8.22%E -5.52%K -16.77%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-02-25 22:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.