Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Loyola (MD) Greyhounds v Providence Friars

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

73%

27%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Loyola (MD) Greyhounds (Local)

Prediction 72.72%1.38fair odd

EV -3.28%

Edge -2.46%

Kelly -9.93%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

70.96%72.72%72.77%74.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.271.301.291.3378.74%77.07%77.22%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Providence Friars (Visit)

Prediction 27.28%3.67fair odd

EV +0.921%

Edge +0.249%

Kelly +0.341%

Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.55%27.28%27.23%29.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.203.413.383.7031.25%29.30%29.63%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Loyola (MD) Greyhounds (Local): 72.72%; Providence Friars (Visit): 27.28%. For Providence Friars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.921%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -7.64%E -6.02%K -28.30%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV +0.921%E +0.249%K +0.341%G +0.003%	5.8%	2026-03-07 16:30
FanDuel🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.73%E -3.61%K -15.26%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.53%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-03-06 21:30
BetMGM🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.28%E -2.46%K -9.93%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-05 15:00
Fliff🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43%EV -6.91%E -5.40%K -24.69%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -12.72%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-03-07 16:34

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.