Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lafayette Leopards v Army Knights

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 00:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

10%

90%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lafayette Leopards (Local)

Prediction 10.07%9.93fair odd

EV +10.79%

Edge +0.981%

Kelly +1.08%

Growth +0.117%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

8.56%10.07%9.76%11.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

8.009.269.0311.0012.50%10.80%11.08%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Army Knights (Visit)

Prediction 89.93%1.11fair odd

EV -2.88%

Edge -2.66%

Kelly -35.98%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

88.11%89.93%90.24%91.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.031.051.041.0897.09%95.24%95.69%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lafayette Leopards (Local): 10.07%; Army Knights (Visit): 89.93%. For Lafayette Leopards (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +10.79%E +0.981%K +1.08%G +0.117%	1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.37%E -7.16%K -245.81%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-04 18:20
FanDuel🎯	9.80I 10.20%NM 9.76%EV -1.29%E -0.132%K -0.147%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.24%EV -4.68%E -4.41%K -77.94%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-06 20:54
Fliff🎯	8.25I 12.12%NM 11.10%EV -16.90%E -2.05%K -2.33%G +0.000%	1.03I 97.09%NM 88.90%EV -7.37%E -7.16%K -245.81%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-03-06 19:05
DraftKings🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -19.42%E -2.43%K -2.77%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.88%E -2.66%K -35.98%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-06 19:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.