Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Dolphins v High Point Panthers

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Dolphins (Local)

Prediction 77.83%1.28fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -3.47%
Kelly -18.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.07%77.83%77.35%79.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.211.211.2384.75%82.99%82.99%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

High Point Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 22.17%4.51fair odd
EV -0.253%
Edge -0.056%
Kelly -0.072%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.91%22.17%22.65%22.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.054.214.154.5024.69%23.74%24.10%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jacksonville Dolphins (Local): 77.83%; High Point Panthers (Visit): 22.17%. For High Point Panthers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.50, with an expected value of -0.253%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.26%E -3.47%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.90%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 00:35
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.04%E -4.13%K -22.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.12%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -7.38%E -6.20%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -0.253%E -0.056%K -0.072%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 16:45
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.44%EV -8.16%E -6.91%K -45.31%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.56%EV -10.23%E -2.53%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.