Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Dolphins v Duke Blue Devils

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

11%

89%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jacksonville Dolphins (Local)

Prediction 11.50%8.70fair odd

EV +3.49%

Edge +0.388%

Kelly +0.436%

Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

10.54%11.50%11.80%12.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

7.808.197.979.0012.82%12.21%12.54%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Duke Blue Devils (Visit)

Prediction 88.50%1.13fair odd

EV -4.42%

Edge -4.09%

Kelly -55.23%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

87.84%88.50%88.20%89.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.041.061.061.0896.15%94.12%93.90%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jacksonville Dolphins (Local): 11.50%; Duke Blue Devils (Visit): 88.50%. For Jacksonville Dolphins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.70. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.49%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +3.49%E +0.388%K +0.436%G +0.015%	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.19%E -5.84%K -103.14%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-02-20 05:40
BetMGM🎯	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -8.01%E -1.00%K -1.14%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.30%E -4.96%K -75.77%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-20 05:40
Fliff🎯	7.95I 12.58%NM 11.57%EV -8.59%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%	1.04I 96.15%NM 88.43%EV -7.96%E -7.65%K -198.97%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-02-20 05:40
FanDuel🎯	7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -10.31%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -4.42%E -4.09%K -55.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-02-20 05:37

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.