Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iona Gaels v Marist Red Foxes

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

92%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iona Gaels (Local)

Prediction 7.67%13.04fair odd

EV +22.71%

Edge +1.42%

Kelly +1.51%

Growth +0.344%

assuming max odds 16.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

5.99%7.67%6.98%10.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

9.0512.0411.5516.0011.05%8.31%8.66%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marist Red Foxes (Visit)

Prediction 92.33%1.08fair odd

EV -2.13%

Edge -2.01%

Kelly -35.49%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

89.87%92.33%93.02%94.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.021.031.021.0698.04%97.09%98.04%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iona Gaels (Local): 7.67%; Marist Red Foxes (Visit): 92.33%. For Iona Gaels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.04. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 16.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +22.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +22.71%E +1.42%K +1.51%G +0.344%	1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.82%E -5.71%K -291.13%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-19 14:29
FanDuel🎯	13.60I 7.35%NM 6.98%EV +4.30%E +0.316%K +0.341%G +0.015%	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.02%EV -5.82%E -5.71%K -291.13%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-18 20:50
DraftKings🎯	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -27.14%E -2.86%K -3.19%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.13%E -2.01%K -35.49%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-03-21 15:44
Fliff🎯	9.05I 11.05%NM 10.13%EV -30.59%E -3.38%K -3.80%G +0.000%	1.02I 98.04%NM 89.87%EV -5.82%E -5.71%K -291.13%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-03-21 16:24

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.