Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Holy Cross Crusaders v Loyola (MD) Greyhounds

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

21%

79%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Holy Cross Crusaders (Local)

Prediction 21.46%4.66fair odd

EV +0.867%

Edge +0.184%

Kelly +0.234%

Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

20.20%21.46%22.02%22.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.254.394.304.7023.53%22.79%23.26%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Loyola (MD) Greyhounds (Visit)

Prediction 78.54%1.27fair odd

EV -4.97%

Edge -4.11%

Kelly -23.66%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

77.84%78.54%77.98%79.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.161.191.191.2186.21%84.03%83.68%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Holy Cross Crusaders (Local): 21.46%; Loyola (MD) Greyhounds (Visit): 78.54%. For Holy Cross Crusaders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.867%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +0.867%E +0.184%K +0.234%G +0.002%	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.54%E -5.49%K -34.41%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-25 20:19
Fliff🎯	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -6.64%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%	1.16I 86.21%NM 78.95%EV -8.89%E -7.67%K -55.59%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-03-27 19:25
DraftKings🎯	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.79%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%	1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.97%E -4.11%K -23.66%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-25 15:54
BetMGM🎯	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -8.79%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.75%E -4.79%K -28.77%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-25 18:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.