Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Holy Cross Crusaders v Colgate Raiders

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

15%

85%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Holy Cross Crusaders (Local)

Prediction 14.70%6.80fair odd

EV +7.34%

Edge +1.01%

Kelly +1.17%

Growth +0.086%

assuming max odds 7.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

13.10%14.70%14.47%17.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.356.216.107.3018.69%16.10%16.39%13.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colgate Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 85.30%1.17fair odd

EV -3.62%

Edge -3.20%

Kelly -27.82%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

82.95%85.30%85.53%86.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.101.111.101.1390.91%90.29%90.91%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Holy Cross Crusaders (Local): 14.70%; Colgate Raiders (Visit): 85.30%. For Holy Cross Crusaders (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.80. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV +7.34%E +1.01%K +1.17%G +0.086%	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -6.17%E -5.61%K -61.75%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-05 00:08
BetMGM🎯	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.42%E -0.680%K -0.804%G +0.000%	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.17%E -5.61%K -61.75%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-05 15:32
DraftKings🎯	5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -16.18%E -2.84%K -3.44%G +0.000%	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -3.62%E -3.20%K -27.82%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-07 16:24
Fliff🎯	5.35I 18.69%NM 17.05%EV -21.33%E -3.99%K -4.90%G +0.000%	1.10I 90.91%NM 82.95%EV -6.17%E -5.61%K -61.75%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-03-07 16:30

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.