Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.10
assuming max odds 1.32
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: High Point Panthers (Local): 24.03%; Massachusetts Minutemen (Visit): 75.97%. For Massachusetts Minutemen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.316. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.320, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.274%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -29.10%E -9.86%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV +0.274%E +0.208%K +0.858%G +0.002% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 16:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.28%E -3.40%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 15:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.67%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.04%E -4.03%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.46%E -0.356%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.32%E -6.00%K -33.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 15:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.