Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Harvard Crimson v Marquette Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

92%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Harvard Crimson (Local)

Prediction 91.95%1.09fair odd

EV -1.61%

Edge -1.51%

Kelly -23.05%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

88.82%91.95%93.02%94.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.021.031.021.0798.04%96.85%98.04%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marquette Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 8.05%12.42fair odd

EV +28.80%

Edge +1.80%

Kelly +1.92%

Growth +0.553%

assuming max odds 16.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

5.99%8.05%6.98%11.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

8.5011.8811.5016.0011.76%8.42%8.70%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Harvard Crimson (Local): 91.95%; Marquette Golden Eagles (Visit): 8.05%. For Marquette Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.42. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 16.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +28.80%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -6.21%E -6.09%K -310.56%G +0.000%	16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +28.80%E +1.80%K +1.92%G +0.553%	4.3%	2026-02-26 14:00
FanDuel🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.02%EV -6.21%E -6.09%K -310.56%G +0.000%	13.60I 7.35%NM 6.98%EV +9.48%E +0.697%K +0.753%G +0.071%	5.4%	2026-02-25 05:14
Fliff🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 90.21%EV -6.21%E -6.09%K -310.56%G +0.000%	9.40I 10.64%NM 9.79%EV -24.33%E -2.59%K -2.90%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-02-28 16:55
DraftKings🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -1.61%E -1.51%K -23.05%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -31.57%E -3.71%K -4.21%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-28 16:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.