Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgetown Hoyas v Richmond Spiders

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

33%

67%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Georgetown Hoyas (Local)

Prediction 32.97%3.03fair odd

EV +2.22%

Edge +0.716%

Kelly +1.06%

Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

30.49%32.97%33.49%35.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.552.802.773.1039.22%35.75%36.10%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Richmond Spiders (Visit)

Prediction 67.03%1.49fair odd

EV -2.81%

Edge -1.94%

Kelly -6.25%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

64.07%67.03%66.51%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.361.421.431.4573.53%70.55%69.93%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Georgetown Hoyas (Local): 32.97%; Richmond Spiders (Visit): 67.03%. For Georgetown Hoyas (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +2.22%E +0.716%K +1.06%G +0.023%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.84%E -6.50%K -24.57%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-06 15:40
FanDuel🎯	2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.35%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.66%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-01 23:59
BetMGM🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.97%E -4.06%K -6.45%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.81%E -1.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-03 16:05
Fliff🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -15.92%E -6.24%K -10.27%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -4.15%E -2.90%K -9.66%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-03-07 16:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.