Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bucknell Bison v Colgate Raiders

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bucknell Bison (Local)

Prediction 35.53%2.81fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -0.837%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.37%35.53%35.08%39.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.582.632.7543.48%38.80%38.02%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colgate Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 64.47%1.55fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -5.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.37%64.47%64.92%65.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.481.481.5169.44%67.57%67.34%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bucknell Bison (Local): 35.53%; Colgate Raiders (Visit): 64.47%. For Bucknell Bison (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -2.30%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.30%E -0.837%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.16%E -4.97%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 13:40
FanDuel🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.37%E -1.24%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.22%E -3.55%K -11.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 20:45
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -9.76%E -3.84%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -3.29%E -2.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 15:50
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -18.29%E -7.95%K -14.07%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -2.65%E -1.75%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.