Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bryant Bulldogs v Quinnipiac Bobcats

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bryant Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 88.32%1.13fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -3.42%
Kelly -41.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.96%88.32%87.41%90.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.071.071.0995.24%93.46%93.46%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Quinnipiac Bobcats (Visit)

Prediction 11.68%8.56fair odd
EV +14.45%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +1.64%
Growth +0.237%

assuming max odds 9.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.76%11.68%12.59%13.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.007.957.509.8014.29%12.58%13.33%10.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bryant Bulldogs (Local): 88.32%; Quinnipiac Bobcats (Visit): 11.68%. For Quinnipiac Bobcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.56. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.24%EV -6.38%E -6.02%K -106.33%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.76%EV +14.45%E +1.47%K +1.64%G +0.237%4.5%2026-02-20 05:37
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.73%E -3.42%K -41.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -12.41%E -1.65%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-20 05:40
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.61%E -4.27%K -57.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.41%E -1.65%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 05:40
Fliff🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 86.96%EV -7.26%E -6.92%K -145.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -18.25%E -2.61%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-20 05:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.