Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brown Bears v UMass Lowell River Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

96%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brown Bears (Local)

Prediction 95.95%1.04fair odd

EV -3.09%

Edge -3.06%

Kelly -309.13%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

95.79%95.95%95.79%96.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.011.011.011.0199.01%99.01%99.01%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UMass Lowell River Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 4.05%24.69fair odd

EV +5.32%

Edge +0.205%

Kelly +0.213%

Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 26.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

3.74%4.05%4.21%4.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

23.0024.0023.0026.004.35%4.17%4.35%3.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brown Bears (Local): 95.95%; UMass Lowell River Hawks (Visit): 4.05%. For UMass Lowell River Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 24.69. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 26.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.32%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.09%E -3.06%K -309.13%G +0.000%	26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +5.32%E +0.205%K +0.213%G +0.011%	2.9%	2026-03-15 18:34
DraftKings🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.09%E -3.06%K -309.13%G +0.000%	23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -6.83%E -0.297%K -0.310%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-03-15 18:10
BetMGM🎯	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.09%E -3.06%K -309.13%G +0.000%	23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV -6.83%E -0.297%K -0.310%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-03-16 15:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.