Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Binghamton Bearcats v UMass Lowell River Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

75%

25%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Binghamton Bearcats (Local)

Prediction 74.72%1.34fair odd

EV -3.61%

Edge -2.80%

Kelly -12.44%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

71.43%74.72%73.77%76.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.241.271.281.2980.65%78.59%78.13%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UMass Lowell River Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 25.28%3.96fair odd

EV +3.64%

Edge +0.887%

Kelly +1.17%

Growth +0.043%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

23.22%25.28%26.23%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.203.633.604.1031.25%27.59%27.78%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Binghamton Bearcats (Local): 74.72%; UMass Lowell River Hawks (Visit): 25.28%. For UMass Lowell River Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.96. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -7.34%E -5.92%K -30.60%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +3.64%E +0.887%K +1.17%G +0.043%	5.0%	2026-03-11 22:20
BetMGM🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.44%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-12 13:40
DraftKings🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.55%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.00%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-11 20:30
Fliff🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43%EV -4.35%E -3.40%K -15.55%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -19.11%E -5.97%K -8.69%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-03-11 20:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.