Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bellarmine Knights v Marquette Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

21%

79%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bellarmine Knights (Local)

Prediction 20.51%4.88fair odd

EV +4.58%

Edge +0.898%

Kelly +1.12%

Growth +0.051%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

18.66%20.51%21.43%23.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.954.464.405.1025.32%22.41%22.73%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marquette Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 79.49%1.26fair odd

EV -4.61%

Edge -3.84%

Kelly -23.03%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

76.85%79.49%78.57%81.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.171.191.191.2085.47%84.03%83.68%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bellarmine Knights (Local): 20.51%; Marquette Golden Eagles (Visit): 79.49%. For Bellarmine Knights (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.58%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +4.58%E +0.898%K +1.12%G +0.051%	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.99%E -5.98%K -41.13%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-20 20:19
DraftKings🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.77%E -2.22%K -2.87%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.61%E -3.84%K -23.03%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-18 20:45
BetMGM🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.77%E -2.22%K -2.87%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.61%E -3.84%K -23.03%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-19 13:49
Fliff🎯	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -19.00%E -4.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%	1.19I 84.03%NM 76.85%EV -5.40%E -4.54%K -28.43%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-03-20 17:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.