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Pelicans v KalPa

2026-09-09 15:30 UTC — Liiga

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pelicans (Local)

Prediction 53.35%1.87fair odd
EV -0.229%
Edge -0.122%
Kelly -0.263%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%53.49%53.43%56.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.771.761.8759.52%56.64%56.82%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KalPa (Visit)

Prediction 46.65%2.14fair odd
EV +4.02%
Edge +1.80%
Kelly +3.27%
Growth +0.131%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.11%46.51%46.57%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.052.002.2351.28%48.89%50.00%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pelicans (Local): 53.35%; KalPa (Visit): 46.65%. For KalPa (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.23, producing a positive expected value of +4.02%.

16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -9.83%E -5.82%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV +4.02%E +1.80%K +3.27%G +0.131%4.0%2026-09-07 15:25
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -10.37%E -6.17%K -15.24%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +1.69%E +0.775%K +1.43%G +0.024%5.4%2026-09-07 14:19
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.10%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.91%E -1.90%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 14:15
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.10%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.91%E -1.90%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 14:19
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.10%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.91%E -1.90%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.10%E -3.46%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 15:30
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 15:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 15:34
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 01:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 01:50
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.70%E -4.45%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.71%E -3.35%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 16:30
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.229%E -0.122%K -0.263%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -9.04%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 20:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%10.2%2026-09-07 01:54

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.35%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.74%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%2.9%2026-09-07 20:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.35%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.74%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%2.9%2026-09-07 20:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.35%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.74%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%2.9%2026-09-07 20:35
Coolbet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.55%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%3.1%2026-09-06 15:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.64%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%5.6%2026-09-07 01:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.28%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%6.2%2026-09-07 14:19
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.28%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%6.2%2026-09-07 14:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.28%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%6.2%2026-09-07 14:19
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.28%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%6.2%2026-09-07 14:19
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.43%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.22%6.3%2026-09-07 15:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.77%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%8.8%2026-09-07 22:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%11.0%2026-09-07 01:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.96%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.47%11.2%2026-09-07 11:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.16%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.04%12.5%2026-09-07 14:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.56%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.88%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.56%14.7%2026-09-07 01:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.54%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.37%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.09%20.3%2026-09-07 01:55
Arbitrage (2 combinations) +1.71%DraftKings 1.87 (54.4%) / NordicBet 2.23 (45.6%)Show all 2 combinations
Pelicans (Local)KalPa (Visit)Margin
DraftKings🎯 1.87 (54.4%)NordicBet🎯 2.23 (45.6%)+1.71%
DraftKings🎯 1.87 (53.8%)Betsson🎯 2.18 (46.2%)+0.657%