默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pelicans v KalPa

开赛时间： 2026-09-09 15:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

42%

35%

24%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pelicans (主队)

预测 41.61%2.40公平赔率

EV -4.29%

优势 -1.87%

Kelly -3.30%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布

41.10%41.77%41.51%42.85%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.052.212.232.3048.78%45.27%44.84%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

KalPa (客队)

预测 34.59%2.89公平赔率

EV +2.05%

优势 +0.695%

Kelly +1.05%

增长率 +0.022%

假设最高赔率为 2.95

博彩公司预测分布

32.78%34.43%34.77%35.54%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.452.742.702.9540.82%36.49%37.04%33.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.79%4.20公平赔率

EV -2.45%

优势 -0.596%

Kelly -0.789%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.10

博彩公司预测分布

22.80%23.80%23.72%24.80%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.603.853.804.1027.78%26.00%26.32%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Pelicans (主队)：41.61%；KalPa (客队)：34.59%；平局：23.79%。对于“KalPa (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.89。当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.95，对应+2.05%的正期望值。

有 16 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	平局	利润率	更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -5.12%E -2.25%K -4.00%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%EV +2.05%E +0.695%K +1.05%G +0.022%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.80%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-09-09 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -5.12%E -2.25%K -4.00%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%EV +2.05%E +0.695%K +1.05%G +0.022%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.80%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-09-09 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -5.12%E -2.25%K -4.00%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%EV +2.05%E +0.695%K +1.05%G +0.022%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.80%EV -7.20%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-09-09 15:15
Coolbet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.19%EV -4.29%E -1.87%K -3.30%G +0.000%	2.92I 34.25%NM 33.24%EV +1.01%E +0.347%K +0.527%G +0.005%	3.95I 25.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.01%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-09-09 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -7.20%E -3.23%K -5.86%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -1.41%E -0.495%K -0.762%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-09 15:15
Casumo🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -7.20%E -3.23%K -5.86%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -1.41%E -0.495%K -0.762%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-09 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -7.20%E -3.23%K -5.86%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -1.41%E -0.495%K -0.762%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-09 15:20
Grosvenor🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.21%EV -7.20%E -3.23%K -5.86%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -1.41%E -0.495%K -0.762%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -9.58%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-09 15:20
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.52%EV -5.54%E -2.44%K -4.36%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.60%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -4.82%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-09 09:45
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.60%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.82%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-09 13:10
PMU (FR)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -12.61%E -6.01%K -11.47%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -6.60%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.34%E -3.98%K -5.52%G +0.000%	12.4%	2026-09-09 15:15
1xBet🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.54%E -2.44%K -4.36%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.54%EV -8.33%E -3.14%K -5.05%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -2.45%E -0.596%K -0.789%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-09-09 15:25
Betway🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -10.06%E -3.87%K -6.29%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -10.77%E -2.87%K -3.92%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-09-09 09:44
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 35.32%EV -11.79%E -4.62%K -7.60%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -6.01%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-09-09 09:44
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.25%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -11.79%E -4.62%K -7.60%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -11.96%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%	12.8%	2026-09-09 15:19
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 35.12%EV -12.83%E -5.09%K -8.44%G +0.000%	3.73I 26.81%NM 23.72%EV -11.25%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-09-09 15:10
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 41.83%EV -14.69%E -7.17%K -13.99%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 35.00%EV -15.25%E -6.22%K -10.52%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 23.17%EV -11.96%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%	16.6%	2026-09-09 09:44

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (16)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	利润率 ▲	更新时间
NordicBet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%	4.0%	2026-09-09 13:55
theScore Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%	4.1%	2026-09-09 09:39
DraftKings🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%	4.3%	2026-09-09 09:44
Pinnacle🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%	4.8%	2026-09-09 10:44
BetRivers🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%	5.0%	2026-09-09 15:15
betPARX🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%	5.0%	2026-09-09 15:15
Bally Bet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%	5.0%	2026-09-09 15:20
Betsson🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%	5.3%	2026-09-09 13:55
888sport🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%	5.6%	2026-09-09 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%	5.6%	2026-09-09 11:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%	5.6%	2026-09-09 11:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%	6.5%	2026-09-09 09:44
Paddy Power🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%	7.5%	2026-09-08 06:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%	7.8%	2026-09-08 06:25
Coral🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%	7.8%	2026-09-08 06:25
Smarkets◎	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%	1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%	8.1%	2026-09-09 10:00