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Rögle BK v Växjö Lakers

Kickoff: 2026-04-14 17:00 UTC

Final: Rögle BK 4–1 Växjö Lakers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rögle BK (Local)

Prediction 67.00%1.49fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -4.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.73%67.10%66.82%68.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.391.401.4674.07%71.90%71.43%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Växjö Lakers (Visit)

Prediction 33.00%3.03fair odd
EV +0.313%
Edge +0.103%
Kelly +0.153%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.22%32.90%33.18%34.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.892.903.0435.71%34.56%34.48%32.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rögle BK (Local): 67.00%; Växjö Lakers (Visit): 33.00%. For Växjö Lakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.04, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.313%.

20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -7.54%E -5.46%K -19.83%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV +0.313%E +0.103%K +0.153%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 13:15
theScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 14:00
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 01:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 01:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 01:39
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -9.55%E -7.07%K -27.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 07:09
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -9.55%E -7.07%K -27.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 07:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -9.55%E -7.07%K -27.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 07:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -9.55%E -7.07%K -27.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 07:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.88%E -6.53%K -24.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.97%E -1.72%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 13:34
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 15:00
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 15:00
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.18%E -1.49%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 13:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.97%3.12I 32.05%NM 32.03%0.1%2026-04-14 16:00
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.98%7.4%2026-04-14 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.02I 98.04%NM 68.32%2.20I 45.45%NM 31.68%43.5%2026-04-14 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 68.54%2.20I 45.45%NM 31.46%44.5%2026-04-14 09:50

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.29%2.0%2026-04-14 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%2.9%2026-04-14 16:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%2.9%2026-04-14 16:00
Coolbet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%4.0%2026-04-14 15:00
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.51%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.08%4.3%2026-04-14 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.98%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.01%4.5%2026-04-14 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.91%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.08%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%4.6%2026-04-14 12:55
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%5.5%2026-04-14 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%6.0%2026-04-13 01:50
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%6.6%2026-04-14 15:30
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%6.6%2026-04-14 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%6.6%2026-04-14 15:29
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%6.6%2026-04-14 15:30
LeoVegas🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%8.2%2026-04-14 16:00
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%10.1%2026-04-14 09:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%10.8%2026-04-14 13:34
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%11.2%2026-04-14 12:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%12.5%2026-04-14 09:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.95%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%15.8%2026-04-14 13:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 54.56%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.62%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.82%16.0%2026-04-14 13:34