La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.46
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.04
20 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -7.54%E -5.46%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV +0.313%E +0.103%K +0.153%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 13:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.52%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 14:00 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 01:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 01:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.20%E -4.43%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-13 01:39 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -9.55%E -7.07%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-13 07:09 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -9.55%E -7.07%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-13 07:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -9.55%E -7.07%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-13 07:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -9.55%E -7.07%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-13 07:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.88%E -6.53%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.97%E -1.72%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 13:34 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 15:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.86%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.18%E -1.49%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 13:00 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.97% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 32.03% | 0.1% | 2026-04-14 16:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.98% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 68.32% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 31.68% | 43.5% | 2026-04-14 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 68.54% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 31.46% | 44.5% | 2026-04-14 09:50 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.29% | 2.0% | 2026-04-14 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 16:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.26% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 15:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.51% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.08% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.98% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.01% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.01% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.91% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.08% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 12:55 |
| Betway | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 01:50 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 15:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 15:29 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 15:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 16:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15% | 10.1% | 2026-04-14 09:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50% | 10.8% | 2026-04-14 13:34 |
| Everygame | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07% | 11.2% | 2026-04-14 12:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22% | 12.5% | 2026-04-14 09:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 53.95% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.33% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72% | 15.8% | 2026-04-14 13:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 54.56% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.62% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.82% | 16.0% | 2026-04-14 13:34 |