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HV71 v Växjö Lakers

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HV71 (Local)

Prediction 32.08%3.12fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.46%32.30%32.08%33.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.882.903.0037.74%34.67%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Växjö Lakers (Visit)

Prediction 44.99%2.22fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.98%44.74%44.99%45.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.082.082.1551.55%48.17%48.08%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.94%4.36fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.318%
Kelly -0.414%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.38%22.96%22.94%24.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.094.154.3027.40%24.42%24.10%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HV71 (Local): 32.08%; Växjö Lakers (Visit): 44.99%; Draw: 22.94%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.30, with an expected value of -1.37%; they did not produce positive expected value.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.33%EV -3.77%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.11%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%EV -1.37%E -0.318%K -0.414%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.33%EV -3.77%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.11%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%EV -1.37%E -0.318%K -0.414%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.33%EV -3.77%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.11%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%EV -1.37%E -0.318%K -0.414%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%EV -3.77%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 12:15
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -3.77%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.41%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.10%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.50%EV -2.51%E -0.592%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 16:30
1xBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.47%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.69%EV -4.81%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 16:35
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.66%E -0.872%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.66%E -0.872%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 16:30
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.66%E -0.872%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 16:30
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.66%E -0.872%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.33%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.59%EV -4.81%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 16:35
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.58%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.18%EV -8.23%E -4.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 16:30
Everygame🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -8.58%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.13%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-12 16:40
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -3.66%E -0.872%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 16:25
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -9.13%E -4.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-12 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-12 12:15
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.08%EV -13.40%E -4.96%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.19%EV -11.83%E -6.03%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.73%EV -16.28%E -4.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-12 17:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.55%EV -15.00%E -5.66%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.46%EV -12.73%E -6.56%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-12 12:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%1.3%2026-03-12 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%3.3%2026-03-12 17:55
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%4.1%2026-03-12 16:50
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%4.9%2026-03-12 17:50
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%4.9%2026-03-12 16:40
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%5.3%2026-03-12 17:48
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%5.3%2026-03-12 12:15
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%5.4%2026-03-12 14:04
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%5.4%2026-03-12 14:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%5.4%2026-03-12 12:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%5.4%2026-03-12 12:15
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%5.8%2026-03-12 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%7.2%2026-03-12 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%8.0%2026-03-11 13:45
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%8.0%2026-03-11 13:45
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%8.0%2026-03-11 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%8.0%2026-03-11 13:45