语言:简体中文
HV71 v Växjö Lakers
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
HV71 (主队)
预测 32.08%3.12公平赔率
EV -3.77%
优势 -1.26%
Kelly -1.89%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.00
博彩公司预测分布
31.46%32.30%32.08%33.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.652.882.903.0037.74%34.67%34.48%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
Växjö Lakers (客队)
预测 44.99%2.22公平赔率
EV -3.28%
优势 -1.53%
Kelly -2.85%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.15
博彩公司预测分布
43.98%44.74%44.99%45.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.942.082.082.1551.55%48.17%48.08%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 22.94%4.36公平赔率
EV -1.37%
优势 -0.318%
Kelly -0.414%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.30
博彩公司预测分布
22.38%22.96%22.94%24.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.654.094.154.3027.40%24.42%24.10%23.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：HV71 (主队)：32.08%；Växjö Lakers (客队)：44.99%；平局：22.94%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.36。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为4.30，期望值为-1.37%，未产生正期望值。
有 17 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.33%EV -3.77%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.11%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%EV -1.37%E -0.318%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.33%EV -3.77%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.11%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%EV -1.37%E -0.318%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.33%EV -3.77%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.11%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%EV -1.37%E -0.318%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78%EV -3.77%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -3.77%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.41%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.10%EV -4.63%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.50%EV -2.51%E -0.592%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 16:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.47%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -5.53%E -2.63%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.69%EV -4.81%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.66%E -0.872%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.66%E -0.872%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 16:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.66%E -0.872%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.66%E -0.872%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.33%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.08%EV -6.43%E -3.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.59%EV -4.81%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 16:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -8.58%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.18%EV -8.23%E -4.03%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-12 16:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -8.58%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.13%EV -7.78%E -3.79%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-12 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -3.66%E -0.872%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 16:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -9.13%E -4.52%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-12 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -10.03%E -5.01%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.08%EV -13.40%E -4.96%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.19%EV -11.83%E -6.03%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.73%EV -16.28%E -4.46%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.55%EV -15.00%E -5.66%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 44.46%EV -12.73%E -6.56%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%EV -13.98%E -3.73%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (17)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 1.3% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 17:48 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 14:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 14:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 17:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 8.0% | 2026-03-11 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 8.0% | 2026-03-11 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 8.0% | 2026-03-11 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 8.0% | 2026-03-11 13:45 |