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Färjestad BK v HV71

Kickoff: 2026-03-10 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Färjestad BK (Local)

Prediction 76.11%1.31fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -6.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.40%76.23%76.19%78.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.241.251.2983.33%80.80%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HV71 (Visit)

Prediction 23.89%4.19fair odd
EV +3.90%
Edge +0.897%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.045%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.62%23.77%23.81%25.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.893.954.3527.03%25.72%25.32%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Färjestad BK (Local): 76.11%; HV71 (Visit): 23.89%. For HV71 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.90%.

19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV +3.90%E +0.897%K +1.17%G +0.045%6.3%2026-03-10 17:35
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.46%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 23:14
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.46%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.46%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.46%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 23:15
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 17:30
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 17:30
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.81%E -1.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -10.43%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.43%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 16:20
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 14:25
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 14:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%2.0%2026-03-10 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%2.0%2026-03-10 17:50
Smarkets◎1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%4.7%2026-03-10 17:55
Kalshi◎3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%9.3%2026-03-10 17:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.22%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.22%2.8%2026-03-10 17:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14%3.3%2026-03-10 17:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14%3.3%2026-03-10 17:15
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.22%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.78%4.2%2026-03-10 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.99%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.99%4.3%2026-03-10 17:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.77%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.17%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%5.5%2026-03-10 17:20
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.53%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.56%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.92%6.5%2026-03-10 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.42%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.53%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%6.7%2026-03-10 17:55
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%6.9%2026-03-10 17:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%6.9%2026-03-10 17:15
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%6.9%2026-03-10 17:15
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12%6.9%2026-03-10 17:15
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%7.1%2026-03-10 17:20
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.89%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%8.3%2026-03-10 17:15
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%10.3%2026-03-10 17:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.52%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.75%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.73%10.6%2026-03-10 17:19
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.70%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%11.1%2026-03-10 17:25
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 64.46%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.42%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.12%14.9%2026-03-10 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 64.39%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.26%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.36%15.9%2026-03-10 17:20