语言:简体中文
Färjestad BK v HV71
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Färjestad BK (主队)
预测 76.11%1.31公平赔率
EV -1.81%
优势 -1.41%
Kelly -6.25%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.29
博彩公司预测分布
74.40%76.23%76.19%78.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.201.241.251.2983.33%80.80%80.00%77.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
HV71 (客队)
预测 23.89%4.19公平赔率
EV +3.90%
优势 +0.897%
Kelly +1.17%
增长率 +0.045%
假设最高赔率为 4.35
博彩公司预测分布
21.62%23.77%23.81%25.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.703.893.954.3527.03%25.72%25.32%22.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Färjestad BK (主队)：76.11%；HV71 (客队)：23.89%。 对于“HV71 (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.19。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.35，对应+3.90%的正期望值。
有 19 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (13 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.32%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV +3.90%E +0.897%K +1.17%G +0.045% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 17:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.46%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 23:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.46%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.46%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.46%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 23:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.86%E -3.89%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 17:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.81%E -1.41%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -10.43%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 17:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.43%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-10 16:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-10 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-10 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-10 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-10 14:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-03-10 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-03-10 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24% | 9.3% | 2026-03-10 17:25 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (19)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.22% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.22% | 2.8% | 2026-03-10 17:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14% | 3.3% | 2026-03-10 17:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14% | 3.3% | 2026-03-10 17:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.22% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.78% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.99% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.99% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 17:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.77% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.17% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 17:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.53% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.56% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.92% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.42% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.53% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 17:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 17:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 17:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.12% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 17:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.89% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06% | 8.3% | 2026-03-10 17:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18% | 10.3% | 2026-03-10 17:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.52% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.75% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.73% | 10.6% | 2026-03-10 17:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.70% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96% | 11.1% | 2026-03-10 17:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.46% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.42% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.12% | 14.9% | 2026-03-10 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 64.39% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.26% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.36% | 15.9% | 2026-03-10 17:20 |