The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Djurgårdens IF v HV71

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Djurgårdens IF (Local)

Prediction 44.57%2.24fair odd
EV -0.602%
Edge -0.270%
Kelly -0.490%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.48%44.64%44.57%45.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.122.152.2351.02%47.23%46.51%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HV71 (Visit)

Prediction 33.06%3.03fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.22%33.07%33.06%34.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.762.752.9339.22%36.28%36.36%34.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.37%4.47fair odd
EV +0.662%
Edge +0.147%
Kelly +0.189%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.61%22.29%22.37%23.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.234.254.5026.67%23.62%23.53%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Djurgårdens IF (Local): 44.57%; HV71 (Visit): 33.06%; Draw: 22.37%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.47. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.662%.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.63%EV -0.602%E -0.270%K -0.490%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.75%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%EV +0.662%E +0.147%K +0.189%G +0.001%2.8%2026-02-25 13:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.63%EV -0.602%E -0.270%K -0.490%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.75%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%EV +0.662%E +0.147%K +0.189%G +0.001%2.8%2026-02-25 13:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.63%EV -0.602%E -0.270%K -0.490%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.75%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%EV +0.662%E +0.147%K +0.189%G +0.001%2.8%2026-02-25 13:09
Coolbet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.97%EV -2.83%E -1.30%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.79%EV -1.57%E -0.358%K -0.463%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.48%EV -1.94%E -0.882%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.78%EV -9.09%E -3.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%EV -1.57%E -0.358%K -0.463%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 13:09
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -3.72%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -10.74%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.69%E -0.619%K -0.804%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 13:09
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -3.72%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -10.74%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.69%E -0.619%K -0.804%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 13:09
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -3.72%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -10.74%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.69%E -0.619%K -0.804%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 13:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -3.72%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -10.74%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.69%E -0.619%K -0.804%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-25 13:10
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.82%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.03%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -4.93%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 17:45
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.73%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -12.40%E -4.68%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -4.93%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-25 13:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.28%EV -4.17%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -4.79%E -1.66%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.05%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 17:45
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.74%EV -7.29%E -3.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.59%EV -13.06%E -4.97%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -6.05%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-25 13:09
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.23%EV -7.29%E -3.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.11%EV -3.14%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.67%EV -7.17%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.47%EV -8.18%E -3.97%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.97%EV -3.14%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -7.17%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 17:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.87%EV -10.85%E -5.43%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.24%EV -10.74%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-26 17:45
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.27%EV -10.85%E -5.43%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.22%EV -4.13%E -1.43%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -13.88%E -3.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-26 17:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 43.90%EV -12.64%E -6.45%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.75%EV -15.70%E -6.16%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.35%EV -13.88%E -3.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%16.2%2026-02-26 17:45
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 43.55%EV -11.30%E -5.68%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.33%EV -14.05%E -5.40%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.11%EV -16.12%E -4.30%K -5.86%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-26 17:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%4.0%2026-02-26 17:45
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%4.2%2026-02-26 17:25
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%4.7%2026-02-26 13:15
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%5.0%2026-02-26 17:44
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%5.0%2026-02-26 17:25
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%5.3%2026-02-26 17:45
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%5.3%2026-02-26 17:45
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%5.4%2026-02-26 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%5.4%2026-02-26 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%5.4%2026-02-26 17:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%6.5%2026-02-26 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-02-23 06:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%7.6%2026-02-24 21:10
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%7.6%2026-02-24 21:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%7.6%2026-02-24 21:10
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%7.6%2026-02-24 21:10
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%8.3%2026-02-26 17:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 54.04%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.96%12.2%2026-02-26 17:05