默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Djurgårdens IF v HV71

开赛时间： 2026-02-26 18:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

19 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

45%

33%

22%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Djurgårdens IF (主队)

预测 44.57%2.24公平赔率

EV -0.602%

优势 -0.270%

Kelly -0.490%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.23

博彩公司预测分布

43.48%44.64%44.57%45.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.962.122.152.2351.02%47.23%46.51%44.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

HV71 (客队)

预测 33.06%3.03公平赔率

EV -3.14%

优势 -1.07%

Kelly -1.63%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.93

博彩公司预测分布

31.22%33.07%33.06%34.83%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.552.762.752.9339.22%36.28%36.36%34.13%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 22.37%4.47公平赔率

EV +0.662%

优势 +0.147%

Kelly +0.189%

增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 4.50

博彩公司预测分布

21.61%22.29%22.37%23.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.754.234.254.5026.67%23.62%23.53%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Djurgårdens IF (主队)：44.57%；HV71 (客队)：33.06%；平局：22.37%。对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.47。当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.50，对应+0.662%的正期望值。

有 18 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队	平局 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.63%EV -0.602%E -0.270%K -0.490%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.75%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%EV +0.662%E +0.147%K +0.189%G +0.001%	2.8%	2026-02-25 13:09
ATG (SE)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.63%EV -0.602%E -0.270%K -0.490%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.75%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%EV +0.662%E +0.147%K +0.189%G +0.001%	2.8%	2026-02-25 13:09
Svenska Spel🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.63%EV -0.602%E -0.270%K -0.490%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.75%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%EV +0.662%E +0.147%K +0.189%G +0.001%	2.8%	2026-02-25 13:09
Coolbet🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.97%EV -2.83%E -1.30%K -2.40%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.13%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.79%EV -1.57%E -0.358%K -0.463%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-02-26 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.48%EV -1.94%E -0.882%K -1.62%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.78%EV -9.09%E -3.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%EV -1.57%E -0.358%K -0.463%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-02-25 13:09
Unibet🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -3.72%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -10.74%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.69%E -0.619%K -0.804%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-02-25 13:09
Grosvenor🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -3.72%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -10.74%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.69%E -0.619%K -0.804%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-02-25 13:09
Casumo🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -3.72%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -10.74%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.69%E -0.619%K -0.804%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-02-25 13:09
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -3.72%E -1.72%K -3.21%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -10.74%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -2.69%E -0.619%K -0.804%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-02-25 13:10
Betway🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.82%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.03%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -4.93%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-02-26 17:45
LeoVegas🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.73%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -12.40%E -4.68%K -7.51%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -4.93%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-02-25 13:09
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.28%EV -4.17%E -1.94%K -3.62%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -4.79%E -1.66%K -2.55%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -6.05%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-26 17:45
TABtouch🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 43.74%EV -7.29%E -3.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 34.59%EV -13.06%E -4.97%K -8.01%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -6.05%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-02-25 13:09
1xBet🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.23%EV -7.29%E -3.50%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.93I 34.13%NM 32.11%EV -3.14%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%	4.15I 24.10%NM 22.67%EV -7.17%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-02-26 17:45
Marathon Bet🎯	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.47%EV -8.18%E -3.97%K -7.72%G +0.000%	2.93I 34.13%NM 31.97%EV -3.14%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%	4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -7.17%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-02-26 17:24
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.87%EV -10.85%E -5.43%K -10.85%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.24%EV -10.74%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.67%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-02-26 17:45
Everygame🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.27%EV -10.85%E -5.43%K -10.85%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.22%EV -4.13%E -1.43%K -2.18%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -13.88%E -3.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-02-26 17:25
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 43.90%EV -12.64%E -6.45%K -13.16%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 33.75%EV -15.70%E -6.16%K -10.13%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 22.35%EV -13.88%E -3.60%K -4.87%G +0.000%	16.2%	2026-02-26 17:45
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 43.55%EV -11.30%E -5.68%K -11.41%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 33.33%EV -14.05%E -5.40%K -8.78%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 23.11%EV -16.12%E -4.30%K -5.86%G +0.000%	15.4%	2026-02-26 17:44

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (18)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	利润率 ▲	更新时间
theScore Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%	4.0%	2026-02-26 17:45
DraftKings🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%	4.2%	2026-02-26 17:25
Pinnacle🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%	2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%	4.7%	2026-02-26 13:15
Bovada🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%	5.0%	2026-02-26 17:44
Kalshi◎	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%	5.0%	2026-02-26 17:25
NordicBet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%	5.3%	2026-02-26 17:45
Betsson🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%	5.3%	2026-02-26 17:45
888sport🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%	5.4%	2026-02-26 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%	5.4%	2026-02-26 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%	5.4%	2026-02-26 17:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%	6.5%	2026-02-26 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%	7.5%	2026-02-23 06:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%	7.6%	2026-02-24 21:10
Coral🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%	7.6%	2026-02-24 21:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%	7.6%	2026-02-24 21:10
Neds🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%	7.6%	2026-02-24 21:10
Smarkets◎	1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%	2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%	8.3%	2026-02-26 17:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.65I 60.61%NM 54.04%	1.94I 51.55%NM 45.96%	12.2%	2026-02-26 17:05