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Västerås IK v Modo Hockey

Kickoff: 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC

Final: Västerås IK 2–6 Modo Hockey

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Västerås IK (Local)

Prediction 26.21%3.82fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.71%26.07%26.42%27.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.513.543.6529.85%28.51%28.21%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Modo Hockey (Visit)

Prediction 51.62%1.94fair odd
EV -0.371%
Edge -0.192%
Kelly -0.399%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.64%51.72%51.43%52.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.851.881.9358.48%54.14%53.19%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.17%4.51fair odd
EV -5.78%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.86%22.21%22.14%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.104.104.2525.32%24.37%24.39%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Västerås IK (Local): 26.21%; Modo Hockey (Visit): 51.62%; Draw: 22.17%. For Modo Hockey (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.93, with an expected value of -0.371%; they did not produce positive expected value.

6 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betway🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -4.33%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.74%EV -11.73%E -6.86%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -11.33%E -2.83%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-14 16:59
1xBet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 25.78%EV -6.69%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.84%EV -8.63%E -4.88%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -9.11%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 15:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -6.95%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.64%EV -0.371%E -0.192%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -9.11%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-14 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -6.95%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.64%EV -0.371%E -0.192%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -9.11%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-14 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -6.95%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.64%EV -0.371%E -0.192%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -9.11%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-14 15:34
Svenska Spel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -6.95%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.64%EV -0.371%E -0.192%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.37%EV -9.11%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-14 15:34
Coolbet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -6.95%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.71%EV -2.95%E -1.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -5.78%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 13:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 25.73%EV -7.22%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.66%E -5.52%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -9.11%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-14 15:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -7.08%E -3.93%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.78%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-14 15:45
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -9.58%E -2.78%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.78%EV -2.44%E -1.29%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -9.11%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-14 15:35
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -9.58%E -2.78%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -2.95%E -1.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -9.11%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-14 15:34
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -9.58%E -2.78%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -2.95%E -1.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -9.11%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-14 15:34
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.51%EV -9.66%E -5.52%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -9.11%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-14 15:49
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -5.53%E -3.02%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-14 15:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (6)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Betsson🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%5.1%2026-10-14 15:55
NordicBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%5.1%2026-10-14 15:55
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.89%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.11%7.6%2026-10-14 16:05
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%8.3%2026-10-14 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%8.4%2026-10-13 20:14
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%8.4%2026-10-13 20:13