The School of Odds
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Södertälje SK v Nybro Vikings IF

2026-10-16 17:00 UTC — HockeyAllsvenskan

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Södertälje SK (Local)

Prediction 59.97%1.67fair odd
EV -5.84%
Edge -3.72%
Kelly -10.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.70%59.97%59.21%62.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.541.551.5768.03%65.01%64.52%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nybro Vikings IF (Visit)

Prediction 20.03%4.99fair odd
EV -0.873%
Edge -0.176%
Kelly -0.221%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.56%20.03%20.39%20.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.704.754.9523.26%21.28%21.05%20.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.00%5.00fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.409%
Kelly -0.514%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.19%20.00%20.39%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.764.804.9022.73%21.02%20.83%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Södertälje SK (Local): 59.97%; Nybro Vikings IF (Visit): 20.03%; Draw: 20.00%. For Nybro Vikings IF (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.99. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.95, with an expected value of -0.873%; they do not produce positive expected value.

2 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.70%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -3.88%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV -2.00%E -0.409%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 21:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.70%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -3.88%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV -2.00%E -0.409%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 21:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.70%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -3.88%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV -2.00%E -0.409%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 21:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.70%EV -5.84%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -3.88%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.45%EV -2.00%E -0.409%K -0.514%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 21:15
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.51%EV -7.04%E -4.54%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -5.88%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -4.00%E -0.834%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-14 21:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.51%EV -7.04%E -4.54%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -5.88%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -4.00%E -0.834%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-14 21:15
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.51%EV -7.04%E -4.54%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -5.88%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -4.00%E -0.834%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-14 21:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.04%E -4.54%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -10.00%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 23:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.70%EV -8.24%E -5.38%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -13.89%E -3.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.41%EV -12.00%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 21:19
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.52%EV -10.04%E -6.69%K -20.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -9.88%E -2.20%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -6.00%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-14 21:15
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%EV -11.24%E -7.59%K -23.41%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.56%EV -0.873%E -0.176%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -5.00%E -1.05%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-15 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.01%EV -11.84%E -8.05%K -25.18%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.80%EV -2.88%E -0.593%K -0.747%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -5.00%E -1.05%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-15 00:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (2)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.99%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.01%8.5%2026-10-14 21:19
Smarkets◎1.31I 76.34%NM 69.18%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.82%10.3%2026-10-14 21:15