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AIK v Västerås IK

2026-10-16 17:00 UTC — HockeyAllsvenskan

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AIK (Local)

Prediction 64.75%1.54fair odd
EV -6.76%
Edge -4.70%
Kelly -15.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.48%64.75%63.83%66.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.421.421.4473.53%70.63%70.42%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Västerås IK (Visit)

Prediction 16.64%6.01fair odd
EV -0.164%
Edge -0.027%
Kelly -0.033%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.39%16.64%17.02%17.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.205.856.006.0019.23%17.10%16.67%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.61%5.37fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.436%
Kelly -0.539%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.51%18.61%19.15%19.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.135.205.2521.28%19.51%19.23%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: AIK (Local): 64.75%; Västerås IK (Visit): 16.64%; Draw: 18.61%. For Västerås IK (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.01. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 6.00, with an expected value of -0.164%; they do not produce positive expected value.

2 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.164%E -0.027%K -0.033%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -2.29%E -0.436%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 20:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.164%E -0.027%K -0.033%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -2.29%E -0.436%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 20:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.164%E -0.027%K -0.033%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -2.29%E -0.436%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 20:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.164%E -0.027%K -0.033%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -2.29%E -0.436%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 20:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.83%EV -6.76%E -4.70%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -10.15%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -10.66%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-14 21:09
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.24%EV -8.06%E -5.67%K -19.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -0.164%E -0.027%K -0.033%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -3.22%E -0.619%K -0.767%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-14 20:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.24%EV -8.06%E -5.67%K -19.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -0.164%E -0.027%K -0.033%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -3.22%E -0.619%K -0.767%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-14 20:30
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.24%EV -8.06%E -5.67%K -19.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -0.164%E -0.027%K -0.033%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -3.22%E -0.619%K -0.767%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-14 20:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.48%EV -8.06%E -5.67%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -13.48%E -2.59%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -12.53%E -2.66%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-14 21:14
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.96%EV -10.65%E -7.71%K -28.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -4.32%E -0.752%K -0.910%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -6.94%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-14 20:30
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.96%EV -11.29%E -8.24%K -30.52%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.39%EV -0.830%E -0.139%K -0.167%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -3.22%E -0.619%K -0.767%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 23:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.93%EV -11.94%E -8.78%K -33.17%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.56%EV -2.66%E -0.455%K -0.548%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -3.22%E -0.619%K -0.767%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-14 23:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (2)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%9.0%2026-10-14 21:05
Smarkets◎1.24I 80.65%NM 72.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%10.5%2026-10-14 21:10