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Winnipeg Jets v Philadelphia Flyers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Winnipeg Jets (Local)
Prediction 53.14%1.88fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.914%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%53.04%53.19%53.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.801.801.8560.61%55.69%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Flyers (Visit)
Prediction 46.86%2.13fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -3.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.67%46.96%46.81%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.022.032.0653.19%49.44%49.26%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Winnipeg Jets (Local): 53.14%; Philadelphia Flyers (Visit): 46.86%. For Winnipeg Jets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.85, with an expected value of -1.69%; they did not produce positive expected value.
19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.69%E -0.914%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-11 23:06 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.75%E -1.50%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.75%E -1.50%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.75%E -1.50%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.75%E -1.50%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 23:13 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.75%E -1.50%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.94%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.41%E -2.16%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.41%E -2.16%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.94%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.94%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.94%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.94%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.94%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:13 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.94%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:08 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.94%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:06 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.94%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.94%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.41%E -2.16%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 23:13 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.87%E -2.40%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.87%E -2.40%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.94%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 23:07 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.94%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 23:07 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.94%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.01%E -4.00%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.01%E -4.00%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.26%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -11.90%E -6.33%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 23:13 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 23:13 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.98% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33% | 2.9% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.98% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33% | 2.9% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.98% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33% | 2.9% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.98% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33% | 2.9% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 23:13 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.82% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.29% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.68% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.60% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.52% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |