La scuola delle quote

Winnipeg Jets v Philadelphia Flyers

Inizio: 2026-04-11 23:20 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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35 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Winnipeg Jets (Casa)

Previsione 53.14%1.88quota equa
EV -1.69%
Vantaggio -0.914%
Kelly -1.99%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.59%53.04%53.19%53.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.801.801.8560.61%55.69%55.56%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Flyers (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.86%2.13quota equa
EV -3.47%
Vantaggio -1.68%
Kelly -3.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.67%46.96%46.81%48.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.882.022.032.0653.19%49.44%49.26%48.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

19 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.69%E -0.914%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-11 23:06
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.75%E -1.50%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 23:09
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.75%E -1.50%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-11 23:10
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.75%E -1.50%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 23:09
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.75%E -1.50%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 23:13
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.75%E -1.50%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 23:14
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.94%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 23:15
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.41%E -2.16%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:14
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.82%E -2.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.41%E -2.16%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:14
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.94%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:15
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.94%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:14
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.94%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:14
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.94%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:15
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.94%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:13
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.94%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:08
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.94%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.94%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:14
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.94%E -1.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 23:15
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.41%E -2.16%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 23:15
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 23:05
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 23:14
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 23:14
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 23:13
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 23:14
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.35%E -2.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 23:14
SportsBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.87%E -2.40%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 23:15
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.87%E -2.40%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 23:14
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 23:14
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.88%E -2.73%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 23:14
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.94%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 23:07
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.94%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.34%E -2.64%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 23:07
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.94%E -3.36%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.01%E -4.00%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 23:15
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.01%E -4.00%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 23:15
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.26%EV -12.32%E -7.47%K -18.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -11.90%E -6.33%K -13.53%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 23:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-04-11 23:13
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-11 23:15
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-04-11 23:15
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%8.4%2026-04-11 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%10.0%2026-04-11 23:15
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%10.0%2026-04-11 23:13
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-04-11 23:15

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (19)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.98%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-04-11 23:15
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.98%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-04-11 23:15
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.98%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-04-11 23:15
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 41.69%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.98%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-04-11 23:15
Unibet (UK)2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%5.0%2026-04-11 23:15
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-04-11 23:13
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-04-11 23:15
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-04-11 23:15
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.61%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%5.4%2026-04-11 23:15
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%6.4%2026-04-11 23:15
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%6.4%2026-04-11 23:15
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%6.6%2026-04-11 23:15
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%7.9%2026-04-11 23:15
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%8.5%2026-04-11 23:14
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.82%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%8.9%2026-04-11 23:00
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.29%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%8.9%2026-04-11 23:15
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.68%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%9.1%2026-04-11 23:15
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.60%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%9.3%2026-04-11 23:14
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.52%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%12.5%2026-04-11 23:15