The School of Odds
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Winnipeg Jets v New York Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Winnipeg Jets (Local)

Prediction 58.02%1.72fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.02%57.93%59.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.651.651.6966.23%60.65%60.61%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 41.98%2.38fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.571%
Kelly -0.994%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.81%41.98%42.07%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.272.302.3547.62%43.99%43.48%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Winnipeg Jets (Local): 58.02%; New York Rangers (Visit): 41.98%. For New York Rangers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -1.34%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -1.95%E -1.15%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-12 22:30
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.95%E -1.15%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 15:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.53%E -1.51%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 15:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.53%E -1.51%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 15:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 22:20
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 14:55
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 15:49
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 22:49
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 18:04
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-12 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:50
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:44
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:50
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 15:00
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 19:55
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 12:00
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 19:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.12%E -2.27%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 23:29
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 14:55
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 14:55
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 14:55
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 23:48
ReBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.85%E -2.96%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.18%E -0.936%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:30
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.85%E -2.96%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 19:55
NordicBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.85%E -2.96%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 21:55
Betsson🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.85%E -2.96%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 21:55
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.43%E -3.33%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -2.18%E -0.936%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 13:40
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.43%E -3.33%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -2.18%E -0.936%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 13:40
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.43%E -3.33%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.28%E -1.88%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.34%E -0.571%K -0.994%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.60%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 13:40
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 03:08
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 19:29
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 21:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.17%EV -12.39%E -8.21%K -24.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-12 15:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.80%2.37I 42.19%NM 42.20%-0.0%2026-03-12 23:30
Novig◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.39%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.61%0.7%2026-03-12 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-03-12 22:15
ProphetX◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-03-12 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-03-12 23:50
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-03-12 23:50
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-12 19:55
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-12 21:40
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.6%2026-03-12 23:50

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.82%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%3.0%2026-03-12 13:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.82%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%3.0%2026-03-12 13:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.82%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%3.0%2026-03-12 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.82%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%3.0%2026-03-12 13:40
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.51%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.47%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.02%3.2%2026-03-12 22:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.03%3.4%2026-03-12 23:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.52%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.45%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03%4.6%2026-03-12 22:19
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.11%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%5.0%2026-03-12 13:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.23%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%5.2%2026-03-12 13:40
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.23%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%5.2%2026-03-12 13:40
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.23%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12%5.2%2026-03-12 13:40
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.3%2026-03-12 21:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%6.6%2026-03-12 23:35
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%6.8%2026-03-12 13:40
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%7.9%2026-03-12 13:40
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-03-12 03:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%8.8%2026-03-12 23:29
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%9.2%2026-03-12 23:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%9.2%2026-03-12 23:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.26%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%9.7%2026-03-12 23:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.01%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.57%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%10.9%2026-03-12 23:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.29%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.86%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%13.7%2026-03-12 18:25