L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.69
avec la cote maximale 2.35
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -1.95%E -1.15%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-12 22:30 |
| Everygame | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.95%E -1.15%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-12 15:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.53%E -1.51%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 15:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.53%E -1.51%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 22:20 |
| GTbets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 14:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 15:49 |
| Bovada | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 22:49 |
| BetAnything | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 18:04 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:44 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.11%E -1.86%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 15:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 12:00 |
| Caesars | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.12%E -2.27%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 23:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 14:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 14:55 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 14:55 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 14:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.27%E -2.59%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 23:48 |
| ReBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.85%E -2.96%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.18%E -0.936%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.85%E -2.96%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.85%E -2.96%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 21:55 |
| Betsson | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.85%E -2.96%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 21:55 |
| betPARX | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.43%E -3.33%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -2.18%E -0.936%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -5.43%E -3.33%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -2.18%E -0.936%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.43%E -3.33%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.28%E -1.88%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.34%E -0.571%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 16:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.60%E -1.12%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 03:08 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.44%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 19:29 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.01%E -3.71%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 21:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.17%EV -12.39%E -8.21%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-12 15:09 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.80% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 42.20% | -0.0% | 2026-03-12 23:30 |
| Novig | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.39% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.61% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 22:15 |
| ProphetX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 23:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 23:50 |
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Polymarket | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 21:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.6% | 2026-03-12 23:50 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.82% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 13:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.82% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.82% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.82% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.51% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.47% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.02% | 3.2% | 2026-03-12 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.03% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 23:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.52% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.45% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.03% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 22:19 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.11% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.23% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.23% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| Casumo | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.23% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.12% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.77% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.88% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 23:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.03% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 13:40 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-03-12 03:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42% | 8.8% | 2026-03-12 23:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19% | 9.2% | 2026-03-12 23:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19% | 9.2% | 2026-03-12 23:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.26% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37% | 9.7% | 2026-03-12 23:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.01% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.57% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42% | 10.9% | 2026-03-12 23:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.29% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.86% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85% | 13.7% | 2026-03-12 18:25 |