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Winnipeg Jets v Chicago Blackhawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Winnipeg Jets (Local)
Prediction 57.39%1.74fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -2.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.27%57.57%57.40%59.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.661.671.7166.23%60.24%60.06%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Blackhawks (Visit)
Prediction 42.61%2.35fair odd
EV +0.132%
Edge +0.056%
Kelly +0.098%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.95%42.43%42.60%43.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.252.252.3547.62%44.46%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Winnipeg Jets (Local): 57.39%; Chicago Blackhawks (Visit): 42.61%. For Chicago Blackhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.347. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.350, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.132%.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -6.45%E -3.96%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV +0.132%E +0.056%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -0.720%E -0.309%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-04 00:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.01%E -1.78%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.57%E -0.681%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.00%E -0.869%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.88%E -3.59%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.00%E -0.869%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.88%E -3.59%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.00%E -0.869%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 23:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.88%E -3.59%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.00%E -0.869%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 23:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.00%E -0.869%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 08:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -2.42%E -1.06%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.01%E -1.78%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.85%E -1.25%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.01%E -1.78%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.85%E -1.25%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.73%E -2.85%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.85%E -1.25%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.01%E -1.78%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.13%E -1.84%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.01%E -1.78%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.13%E -1.84%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.13%E -1.84%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.13%E -1.84%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.13%E -1.84%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.13%E -1.84%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.13%E -1.84%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.13%E -1.84%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.13%E -1.84%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 23:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.13%E -1.84%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.58%E -2.13%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.55%E -2.03%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.73%E -2.85%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.98%E -2.23%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.01%E -1.78%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.41%E -2.44%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 00:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.41%E -2.44%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.73%E -2.85%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.41%E -2.44%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.73%E -2.85%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.41%E -2.44%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.86%E -1.09%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.26%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.58%E -2.13%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.26%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.26%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.26%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 00:53 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.26%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.26%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.26%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.17%EV -13.34%E -8.83%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -10.52%E -5.01%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-04 00:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 0.2% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.23% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.77% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.9% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00% | 2.6% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63% | 2.7% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63% | 2.7% | 2026-03-04 00:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 23:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63% | 2.7% | 2026-03-03 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.46% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.60% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.91% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.29% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.24% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.14% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.62% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.77% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.73% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.73% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.73% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.73% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.53% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.29% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 00:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.79% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.03% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44% | 9.4% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28% | 9.5% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41% | 9.5% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |