L’École des cotes

Winnipeg Jets v Chicago Blackhawks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 01:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Winnipeg Jets (Local)

Prévision 57.39%1.74cote équitable
EV -1.86%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -2.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.27%57.57%57.40%59.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.661.671.7166.23%60.24%60.06%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago Blackhawks (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.61%2.35cote équitable
EV +0.132%
Avantage +0.056%
Kelly +0.098%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.95%42.43%42.60%43.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.252.252.3547.62%44.46%44.44%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -6.45%E -3.96%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV +0.132%E +0.056%K +0.098%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 18:10
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -0.720%E -0.309%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-04 00:54
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.01%E -1.78%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.57%E -0.681%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-04 00:55
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.00%E -0.869%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 00:55
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.88%E -3.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.00%E -0.869%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 00:30
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.88%E -3.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.00%E -0.869%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 23:30
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.88%E -3.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.00%E -0.869%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 23:29
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.00%E -0.869%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 08:50
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -2.42%E -1.06%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-04 00:10
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.01%E -1.78%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.85%E -1.25%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 00:20
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.01%E -1.78%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.85%E -1.25%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 00:20
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.73%E -2.85%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.85%E -1.25%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 00:40
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.01%E -1.78%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.13%E -1.84%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 00:20
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.01%E -1.78%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.13%E -1.84%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 01:00
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.13%E -1.84%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:55
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.13%E -1.84%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:55
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.13%E -1.84%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:19
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.13%E -1.84%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.13%E -1.84%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:19
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.13%E -1.84%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:20
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.13%E -1.84%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 23:35
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.13%E -1.84%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 01:00
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.58%E -2.13%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.55%E -2.03%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 00:20
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.73%E -2.85%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.98%E -2.23%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:55
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.01%E -1.78%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.41%E -2.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 00:19
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.41%E -2.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 00:20
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.73%E -2.85%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.41%E -2.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:55
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.73%E -2.85%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.41%E -2.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:55
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -1.86%E -1.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.26%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 00:20
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.58%E -2.13%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.26%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 01:00
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.26%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 00:05
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.26%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 00:53
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.26%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.26%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 00:20
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.31%E -3.22%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.26%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 00:20
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.17%EV -13.34%E -8.83%K -26.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -10.52%E -5.01%K -9.56%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-04 00:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-03-04 00:30
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 58.23%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.77%1.0%2026-03-04 01:05
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-04 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-04 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-04 01:00
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-04 01:05
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-03-03 23:55
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%2.6%2026-03-04 01:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%2.7%2026-03-04 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%2.7%2026-03-04 00:29
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 47.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%2.7%2026-03-03 23:30
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%2.7%2026-03-03 23:30
Unibet (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.46%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%3.8%2026-03-04 00:55
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.91%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.29%4.7%2026-03-04 00:55
1xBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.24%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.14%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.62%4.8%2026-03-04 00:55
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.3%2026-03-04 00:40
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.73%5.8%2026-03-04 00:30
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.73%5.8%2026-03-04 00:30
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.73%5.8%2026-03-04 00:30
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.73%5.8%2026-03-04 00:30
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-03-04 01:00
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 47.53%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%6.8%2026-03-04 00:30
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 47.29%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%7.9%2026-03-04 00:29
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-03-04 00:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.79%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%8.9%2026-03-04 00:55
Codere (IT)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.03%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.44%9.4%2026-03-04 01:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%9.5%2026-03-04 01:00
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%9.5%2026-03-04 01:05
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%11.1%2026-03-04 00:55
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%11.1%2026-03-04 01:00