Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Winnipeg Jets v Anaheim Ducks

Kickoff: 2026-03-11 00:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Winnipeg Jets (Local)

Prediction 55.53%1.80fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.969%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%55.51%55.62%56.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.721.721.7763.29%58.14%58.14%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anaheim Ducks (Visit)

Prediction 44.47%2.25fair odd
EV +0.061%
Edge +0.027%
Kelly +0.049%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.04%44.49%44.38%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.142.152.2550.51%46.63%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Winnipeg Jets (Local): 55.53%; Anaheim Ducks (Visit): 44.47%. For Anaheim Ducks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.249. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.250, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.061%.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -5.60%E -3.30%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV +0.061%E +0.027%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-11 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -5.60%E -3.30%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV +0.061%E +0.027%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-11 00:24
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.27%E -0.573%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-11 00:20
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.05%E -2.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.16%E -0.983%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 20:55
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.05%E -2.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.16%E -0.983%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 20:55
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.60%E -3.30%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.05%E -1.40%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 20:55
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 00:20
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:53
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.94%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 23:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.60%E -3.30%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.94%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 22:59
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 15:13
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 15:10
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 00:20
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 19:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 20:00
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 14:44
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.94%E -2.28%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 15:18
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.94%E -2.28%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.94%E -2.28%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 00:20
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.05%E -2.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 00:25
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.05%E -2.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 15:19
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.05%E -2.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 00:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.60%E -3.30%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 17:55
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.60%E -3.30%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 00:17
FanDuel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.94%E -2.28%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.83%E -2.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 22:20
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 15:45
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:50
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:50
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.94%E -2.28%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.16%E -2.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 00:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.71%E -0.969%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 15:10
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.71%E -0.969%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 22:30
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.71%E -0.969%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 19:25
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.94%E -2.28%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 04:54
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.60%E -3.30%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.60%E -3.30%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 00:20
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.60%E -3.30%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 00:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.62%EV -12.27%E -7.76%K -21.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.38%EV -11.95%E -6.03%K -12.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-10 23:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-03-10 23:55
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95%0.2%2026-03-11 00:20
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-03-11 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-03-10 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-03-10 23:30
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-03-11 00:30
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-10 18:30
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-10 23:00
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-03-11 00:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.38%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.86%2.9%2026-03-10 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.38%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.86%2.9%2026-03-10 21:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.38%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.86%2.9%2026-03-10 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.38%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.86%2.9%2026-03-10 22:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.43%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%3.8%2026-03-11 00:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.05%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-03-10 23:55
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.89%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07%4.6%2026-03-11 00:25
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.38%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%4.8%2026-03-11 00:20
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%5.5%2026-03-10 21:50
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%5.5%2026-03-10 21:49
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%5.5%2026-03-10 21:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%5.5%2026-03-10 21:50
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-03-10 21:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%6.6%2026-03-10 23:00
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.70%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%7.6%2026-03-10 21:50
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.87%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.45%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%8.5%2026-03-11 00:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%8.8%2026-03-11 00:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%8.8%2026-03-11 00:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.33%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%8.8%2026-03-10 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%9.3%2026-03-11 00:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.28%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.41%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%10.0%2026-03-11 00:29