L’École des cotes

Winnipeg Jets v Anaheim Ducks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-11 00:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Winnipeg Jets (Local)

Prévision 55.53%1.80cote équitable
EV -1.71%
Avantage -0.969%
Kelly -2.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.26%55.51%55.62%56.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.721.721.7763.29%58.14%58.14%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anaheim Ducks (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.47%2.25cote équitable
EV +0.061%
Avantage +0.027%
Kelly +0.049%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.04%44.49%44.38%45.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.982.142.152.2550.51%46.63%46.51%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -5.60%E -3.30%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV +0.061%E +0.027%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-11 00:25
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -5.60%E -3.30%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV +0.061%E +0.027%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-11 00:24
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.27%E -0.573%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-11 00:20
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.05%E -2.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.16%E -0.983%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 20:55
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.05%E -2.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.16%E -0.983%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-10 20:55
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.60%E -3.30%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.05%E -1.40%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 20:55
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 00:20
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:53
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.94%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 23:55
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.60%E -3.30%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.94%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 22:59
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 15:13
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 15:10
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 00:20
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 19:59
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 20:00
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.38%E -1.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 14:44
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.94%E -2.28%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 15:18
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.94%E -2.28%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 00:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.94%E -2.28%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 00:20
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.05%E -2.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 00:25
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.05%E -2.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 15:19
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.05%E -2.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 00:20
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.60%E -3.30%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 17:55
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.60%E -3.30%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.39%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 00:17
FanDuel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.94%E -2.28%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.83%E -2.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 22:20
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 15:45
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:50
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.49%E -2.61%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.72%E -2.70%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 20:50
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.94%E -2.28%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.16%E -2.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 00:20
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.71%E -0.969%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 15:10
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.71%E -0.969%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 22:30
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.71%E -0.969%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 19:25
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.94%E -2.28%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 04:54
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.60%E -3.30%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.60%E -3.30%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 00:20
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.60%E -3.30%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.61%E -3.15%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 00:20
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.62%EV -12.27%E -7.76%K -21.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.38%EV -11.95%E -6.03%K -12.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-10 23:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-03-10 23:55
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95%0.2%2026-03-11 00:20
ProphetX1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-03-11 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-03-10 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-03-10 23:30
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-03-11 00:30
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-10 18:30
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-10 23:00
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-03-11 00:25

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.38%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.86%2.9%2026-03-10 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.38%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.86%2.9%2026-03-10 21:50
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 44.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.38%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.86%2.9%2026-03-10 22:00
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.38%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.86%2.9%2026-03-10 22:00
Unibet (UK)2.27I 44.05%NM 42.43%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%3.8%2026-03-11 00:30
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.05%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-03-10 23:55
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.89%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07%4.6%2026-03-11 00:25
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.38%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%4.8%2026-03-11 00:20
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%5.5%2026-03-10 21:50
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%5.5%2026-03-10 21:49
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%5.5%2026-03-10 21:49
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%5.5%2026-03-10 21:50
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-03-10 21:50
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%6.6%2026-03-10 23:00
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.70%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%7.6%2026-03-10 21:50
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.87%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.45%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%8.5%2026-03-11 00:30
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%8.8%2026-03-11 00:30
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%8.8%2026-03-11 00:30
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.33%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%8.8%2026-03-10 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%9.3%2026-03-11 00:20
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.28%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.41%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%10.0%2026-03-11 00:29