預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Washington Capitals v Philadelphia Flyers

開賽時間: 2026-02-26 00:05 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

39 家博彩公司 (14 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Washington Capitals (主隊)

預測 56.88%1.76公平賠率
EV -2.16%
優勢 -1.26%
Kelly -3.00%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.72

博彩公司預測分布
55.90%56.96%56.85%58.02%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.531.681.681.7265.36%59.66%59.52%58.14%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Philadelphia Flyers (客隊)

預測 43.12%2.32公平賠率
EV -1.69%
優勢 -0.742%
Kelly -1.32%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.28

博彩公司預測分布
41.98%43.04%43.15%44.10%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.072.222.222.2848.31%45.12%45.05%43.86%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Washington Capitals (主隊):56.88%;Philadelphia Flyers (客隊):43.12%。 對於「Philadelphia Flyers (客隊)」,該估計相當於2.32的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為2.28,期望值為-1.69%,未產生正期望值。

有 22 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(3 個賽果,而分析採用 2 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (39 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -2.16%E -1.26%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -6.00%E -2.75%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-26 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-26 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-26 00:00
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 00:00
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.30%E -1.94%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -1.69%E -0.742%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-26 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.30%E -1.94%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 00:00
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.30%E -1.94%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 00:00
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.30%E -1.94%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 23:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 00:00
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 00:00
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 00:00
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 00:00
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.28%E -1.93%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 00:00
Paddy Power🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 00:00
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 00:00
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.87%E -2.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 00:00
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.12%E -0.935%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-26 00:00
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.42%E -1.52%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 00:00
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.28%E -1.93%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 00:00
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 00:00
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.00%E -2.75%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 00:00
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.00%E -2.75%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 00:00
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.30%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.30%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 00:00
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.30%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 23:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.28%E -1.93%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 23:59
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 23:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.01%E -3.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.30%E -3.39%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 00:00
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.69%E -0.742%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 23:55
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.69%E -0.742%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 23:59
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.69%E -0.742%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 00:00
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 23:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 00:00
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 00:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 23:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.98%E -1.33%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 23:59
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.14%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.14%E -2.34%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-26 00:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.97%E -8.48%K -24.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -10.75%E -5.19%K -10.04%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-26 00:00
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-02-26 00:00
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-02-26 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-02-26 00:00
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-02-26 00:00
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-02-26 00:00
BetOpenly1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-02-25 23:59
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-02-26 00:00
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%2.4%2026-02-26 00:00

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (22)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2選項 3利潤率 ▲更新時間
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%3.0%2026-02-26 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%3.0%2026-02-25 23:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%3.0%2026-02-26 00:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%3.0%2026-02-26 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.84%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.91%3.7%2026-02-26 00:00
Coolbet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.89%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%4.5%2026-02-25 23:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.04%4.6%2026-02-25 23:59
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%4.8%2026-02-25 23:59
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%5.6%2026-02-26 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%5.6%2026-02-26 00:00
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%5.6%2026-02-26 00:00
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%5.6%2026-02-26 00:00
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%6.3%2026-02-26 00:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-02-26 00:00
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%7.8%2026-02-26 00:00
LeoVegas🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%7.9%2026-02-26 00:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.69%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%8.8%2026-02-26 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%9.5%2026-02-26 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.69%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%10.7%2026-02-25 23:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 44.90%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%10.8%2026-02-26 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%11.1%2026-02-25 23:57
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.39%11.1%2026-02-25 23:59